The ECB is following the well-worn path of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England, simply because Germany has been dragging their well-healed feet. The common denominator is that each nation needs budget reform but, since their democratically elected governments are impotent, their central banks are forced to stimulate the economy in any way they can.
Right now, the risky 10-year Spanish government bonds are only paying 1.4% compared to risk-free U.S. Treasuries paying 1.9%. That does not make sense. And, that which doesn’t make sense will not last.
In addition, don’t forget the election in Greece this weekend. It is expected that the socialist party will win and will put an end to austerity, which could preclude any additional assistance from the European Union, causing Greece to exit the EU. There is a great deal of anxiety as to whether the EU can survive, but I am not one of the worriers. It will be bumpy for a short while, but that is all.
Lastly, all of the world’s most beautiful brains are now assembled in Davos, Switzerland — setting a very high standard for “group-think” . . . at least, among the 1%. Pay attention!