History teaches us that the current period of incivility we are experiencing is not unique. In the 19th century, some Congressmen had fistfights on the floor of Congress and at least one pulled a gun on another. Eventually, the cycle of civility returned to normal. Regrettably, we have entered another cycle. I think President Trump … Continue reading Cycles of Civility
The Flinchum FileThoughtful Economic Analysis and Existential Opinions
Robert Doll is the Chief Equity Officer of Nuveen and a CNBC favorite. His latest Commentary is instructive. He reminds us of ten things: 1. U.S. economic growth remains solid. 2. Manufacturing levels may come under pressure. 3. The outlook for global growth may have weakened recently, but we see no near-term signs of significant … Continue reading What Reality ?
Somebody, please explain paranoia to me! Every religion feels they are being persecuted for their faith. The lunatic who slaughtered the innocent Jews in Pittsburgh did it because Jews were slaughtering Christians . . . What? Like I said, lunatic! If any faith has a documented claim on being persecuted, it is the Jewish faith. … Continue reading One More Insane Tragedy
Most investors were sorry to see the Dow drop almost 300 points last Friday. However, I was sorry it didn’t drop 1,000 points. Stock market corrections don’t hit bottom until there is some degree of panic, which flushes stock out of “weak hands.” I know this slump is not a financial crisis, as I watch … Continue reading Downward and Onward?
There are many colorful expressions on Wall Street. One is a “dead cat bounce.” Imagine your cat dies, and you toss its carcass out the second story window and watch as it hits the driveway below. It doesn’t land motionless, like a towel. There is a slight bounce when it hits the concrete. Yesterday, you … Continue reading Paging P.E.T.A
This is the worst month for the stock market since January of 2016. But, they are very different corrections. I was nervous during the first one but am just annoyed at the current one. Glencore is a huge London-based commodities trader, and they were struggling two and a half years ago. Because they were the … Continue reading Just Another Correction
That creaking sound you hear is the stock market struggling under the weight of both geopolitical troubles and political troubles. Think about it — our colossal trade war with China, the increasing probability that England will have a messy crash-out of the European Union, the Mid-East is being realigned as we watch in real time, … Continue reading c-r-e-a-k-i-n-g
Is it acceptable to punch somebody in the nose for insulting your late Mother? In an overly-long opinion piece inside yesterday’s Wall Street Journal, the writer alleged that leftists hate “Mr. Trump’s vulgarity.” Well, my Mother never used a vulgar word but prayed for those who did. Vulgarity was not a small deal to her! It … Continue reading The Need To Break Noses
While I don’t like Goldman Sachs, I do have great respect for their research. Their chief equity strategist just predicted the current October volatility is now over, and the S&P 500 will resume its climb, as the underlying fundamentals remain strong. They predict the S&P will end the year at 2,850 or up about 3%. He … Continue reading “The Smartest Guys In The Room”
Perry Mason always found the murderer, but he had a big advantage, because it was after-the-fact. While the economic data is as good as I’ve ever seen it, at least during my lifetime, we should remember that “Bull markets never die of old age. They get killed first!” Hunting the killer is easier with a … Continue reading Hunting The Killer
While it is somewhat dated, here is the link to my latest column for Inside Business https://pilotonline.com/inside-business/news/columns/article_2d091de2-cb3c-11e8-b55e-83e28276fafd.html
I understand patriotism. I feel it from my toes to my nose. I love our national identity, warts and all! Britain also has a strong national identity, with minimal warts. Of course, they feel pride in their national identity, and they should! My inner Republican imagines the damage to their pride when they had to … Continue reading Meandering Toward Brexit
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