This blog has discussed the problem of a strong dollar quite often. Yesterday’s announcement that GDP growth was only 2.6% in the fourth quarter of last year is proof of the problem. Most economists were expecting about 3% or better.
However, with the dollar strong, Americans found foreign-made products cheaper and bought more from other nations, pushing our imports up. Conversely, with the dollar strong, other nations found American-made products more expensive, forcing our exports down. As a result, our trade deficit widened, which causes GDP growth to decrease.
How much did the trade deficit widen, you ask? Enough to drop GDP growth in the fourth quarter from a healthy 3.8% to only 2.6%. In other words, our growth decreased by 32% due to the strong dollar.
Politicians like to strut and take credit for the strong dollar. Sometimes, economists just look at politicians, roll our eyes, shake our head and . . . “pity the fool.”